Glossary — M10: Valuing a Derivative Using a One-Period Binomial Model
Term
Definition
Binomial model
A discrete-time option pricing framework where the underlying can move to one of exactly two possible values (up or down) in each period
Up factor (u)
The multiplicative factor by which the stock price increases in the up state: S+=S0×u where u>1
Down factor (d)
The multiplicative factor by which the stock price decreases in the down state: S−=S0×d where d<1
Hedge ratio (h)
The number of shares of the underlying needed to replicate one option: h=(c+−c−)/(S+−S−); also called delta
Risk-neutral probability (π)
The probability of an up move in the risk-neutral framework: π=(1+r−d)/(u−d); not the actual probability of an up move
Risk-neutral pricing
A valuation method that discounts expected payoffs (computed using risk-neutral probabilities) at the risk-free rate: c0=[πc++(1−π)c−]/(1+r)
One-period binomial model
The simplest binomial framework with a single time step from today to expiration; the foundation for multi-period models
Replicating portfolio (binomial)
A portfolio of h shares of stock plus borrowing/lending at the risk-free rate that exactly replicates the option payoff in both up and down states
No-arbitrage condition (binomial)
The requirement that d<(1+r)<u — the risk-free return must lie between the down and up returns to prevent arbitrage
Risk-neutral world
A theoretical construct where all assets earn the risk-free rate; option prices derived in this world are valid in the real world because of no-arbitrage