Glossary — PM M05: Behavioral Biases of Individuals

TermDefinition
Cognitive errorA bias stemming from faulty reasoning or analysis. Can be corrected through education and awareness. Includes belief perseverance and information-processing errors.
Emotional biasA bias driven by feelings or impulses rather than analysis. Difficult to correct; typically must be accommodated in the portfolio.
Belief perseveranceA category of cognitive errors where individuals cling to prior beliefs despite new contradictory evidence. Includes conservatism, confirmation, representativeness, illusion of control, and hindsight.
Conservatism biasMaintaining prior beliefs by insufficiently updating them when new information arrives. Results in slow reaction to new data.
Confirmation biasSeeking, interpreting, and remembering information that confirms pre-existing beliefs while ignoring contradictory evidence.
Representativeness biasClassifying new information based on past experience or stereotypes, often ignoring base rates or sample sizes.
Base-rate neglectA form of representativeness where the base probability of an event is ignored in favor of specific but potentially irrelevant information.
Sample-size neglectA form of representativeness where conclusions are drawn from a sample that is too small to be statistically meaningful.
Illusion of controlOverestimating one’s ability to control or influence outcomes, leading to excessive trading or inadequate diversification.
Hindsight biasBelieving, after the fact, that a past event was predictable or obvious (“I knew it all along”), which distorts future risk assessment.
Anchoring and adjustmentFixating on an initial piece of information (the anchor) and insufficiently adjusting away from it when making estimates.
Mental accountingTreating money differently depending on its source, location, or intended use, rather than viewing wealth as fungible. Leads to sub-optimal portfolio construction.
Framing biasMaking different decisions depending on how a problem or question is presented (e.g., as a gain vs a loss), even when the underlying economics are identical.
Availability biasOverweighting information that is easily recalled (recent, vivid, or emotionally charged) when making probability estimates.
Loss aversionFeeling the pain of a loss more intensely than the pleasure of an equivalent gain. Leads to risk-averse behavior in gains and risk-seeking behavior in losses.
Disposition effectA manifestation of loss aversion: selling winners too early (to lock in gains) and holding losers too long (to avoid realizing losses).
Overconfidence biasOverestimating one’s knowledge, skill, or the precision of one’s forecasts. Leads to excessive trading, under-diversification, and underestimation of risk.
Self-control biasFailing to act in one’s long-term interest due to a lack of self-discipline, often favoring immediate consumption over future savings.
Status quo biasPreferring the current state of affairs and resisting change, even when change would improve outcomes. Leads to failure to rebalance or update allocations.
Endowment biasValuing an asset more highly simply because one owns it, leading to reluctance to sell (especially inherited or long-held positions).
Regret aversionAvoiding decisions that might produce regret, leading to inaction (errors of omission) or herding behavior (following the crowd reduces individual blame).

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