Formulas: Portfolio Mathematics

Module: M05

Portfolio Expected Return

Covariance

From joint probability model:

Correlation

Also:

Portfolio Variance (2-asset)

Portfolio Variance (N-asset)

Normal Distribution — Confidence Intervals

IntervalProbability
68.27%
90%
95%
99%

Z-Score (Standardization)

Roy’s Safety-First Ratio

where = minimum acceptable return (threshold)

Choose portfolio with highest SFRatio.

Shortfall Probability

where is the standard normal CDF