Formulas: Portfolio Mathematics
Module: M05
Portfolio Expected Return
Covariance
From joint probability model:
Correlation
Also:
Portfolio Variance (2-asset)
Portfolio Variance (N-asset)
Normal Distribution — Confidence Intervals
| Interval | Probability |
|---|---|
| 68.27% | |
| 90% | |
| 95% | |
| 99% |
Z-Score (Standardization)
Roy’s Safety-First Ratio
where = minimum acceptable return (threshold)
Choose portfolio with highest SFRatio.
Shortfall Probability
where is the standard normal CDF